Suav lag luam
Raws li kev lag luam macroeconomic tiam sis tam sim no thiab kev lag luam dynamics, peb tau ceev faj txog qhov kev cia siab ntawm txoj kev loj hlob ntawm Tuam Tshoj twj tso kua mis kev lag luam nyob rau hauv 2026. Peb cia siab tias kev lag luam yuav ua tiav kev loj hlob ruaj khov los ntawm kev hloov kho cov qauv. Cov kev xav tseem ceeb thiab kev tsav tsheb yog raws li hauv qab no:
Kev tsav tsheb tseem ceeb: Txoj cai thiab kev nqis peev hauv vaj tse
"Carbon Neutrality" Lub Hom Phiaj thiab Kev Hloov Kho Ntsuab: Raws li kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb rau kev ua tiav "Carbon Neutrality" lub tswv yim, lub twj tso kua mis kev lag luam tseem yuav tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm kev thov nruj rau kev txuag hluav taws xob thiab txo qis emissions. High-kev ua tau zoo zog-txuag twj, twj sib nqus, twj tshwj xeeb rau hydrogen zog, carbon capture thiab cia, thiab ntse sib txawv - zaus tshuab yuav dhau los ua cov lus qhia tseem ceeb rau kev kho dua tshiab thiab kev lag luam xav tau.
2) Loj- cov khoom siv rov ua dua tshiab thiab kho tshiab: Lub teb chaws txhawb nqa cov khoom siv rov ua dua tshiab hauv cov haujlwm tseem ceeb yuav tau txais txiaj ntsig ncaj qha rau kev lag luam twj tso kua mis. Hauv thaj chaw xws li cov dej hauv nroog, cov txheej txheem kev lag luam, mining thiab metallurgy, thiab kev tsim hluav taws xob, qhov kev thov rau kev hloov cov khoom qub thiab lub zog- cov twj tso kua mis hnyav yuav nrawm dua, muab lub hauv paus ruaj khov rau kev lag luam hauv tsev.
3) Kev tswj hwm dej thiab kev tsim vaj tsev ib puag ncig: Nrog rau kev nqis peev tsis tu ncua los ntawm tsoomfwv hauv thaj chaw xws li kev ruaj ntseg dej, txhim kho kev kho dej hauv nroog, kev lav phib xaub hauv nroog, thiab kev tswj dej nyab thiab dej, qhov kev thov rau cov twj tso dej thiab cov kev daws teeb meem yuav muaj kev loj hlob tsis tu ncua.
2. Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam: Siab- kawg, Kev Txawj Ntse thiab Kev Pabcuam- taw qhia
1) Ntshuam hloov thiab siab -kawg breakthrough: Coj los ntawm lub hom phiaj ntawm kev ua tiav kev ywj pheej ntawm cov thev naus laus zis tseem ceeb, cov tuam txhab lag luam hauv tsev yuav nrawm cov kev tshawb fawb thiab kev tsim kho thiab kev siv zog hloov pauv hauv cov chaw tseem ceeb xws li cov twj siv hluav taws xob nuclear, siab - kawg cov twj tso kua mis, thiab cov twj loj - cov twj tso kua mis, thiab lawv cov kev lag luam yuav nce ntxiv.
2) Intelligentization thiab Digital Transformation: Cov twj ntse nruab nrog IoT, sensors thiab AI algorithms, nrog rau kev saib xyuas kev kwv yees, yuav dhau los ua qhov kev sib tw tshiab. Txhim khu kev ua tau zoo ntawm lub zog thiab kev tswj hwm qib los ntawm cov kev pabcuam cov ntaub ntawv yog tus yuam sij kom ua tiav qhov sib txawv ntawm kev sib tw thiab muab tus nqi ntxiv - cov kev pabcuam ntxiv.
3) Kev hloov pauv ntawm cov khoom mus rau cov kev daws teeb meem: Cov neeg siv khoom xav tau nce ntxiv mus rau kev muab cov kev daws teeb meem uas suav nrog cov twj siv tau zoo, tswj cov tshuab, kev teeb tsa thiab kev saib xyuas, nrog rau kev siv hluav taws xob zoo. Cov tuam txhab uas muaj peev xwm los sib sau ua ke thiab muab kev pabcuam yuav muaj txiaj ntsig zoo dua.
3. Kev lag luam saw thiab kev sib tw toj roob hauv pes
1) Kev tsim kho ntawm cov saw hlau resilience: Kev ruaj ntseg ntawm cov khoom tseem ceeb (xws li cov alloys tshwj xeeb) thiab cov khoom siv tseem ceeb (xws li cov ntsaws ruaj ruaj thiab cov bearings) yuav tau txais kev saib xyuas ntau dua, thiab cov khoom siv hauv zos txhawb nqa peev xwm yuav maj mam txhim kho.
2) Kev lag luam sib sau ua ke thiab sib txawv: Nrog kev sib tw ua lag luam hnyav, cov tuam txhab ua lag luam nrog cov thev naus laus zis, hom thiab peev zoo yuav tsum nthuav dav lawv cov lag luam los ntawm kev sib koom ua ke. Lub caij no, me me thiab nruab nrab- cov tuam txhab loj uas tsis muaj cov thev naus laus zis tseem ceeb yuav ntsib kev nyuaj siab dua, thiab kev lag luam concentration yuav nce ntxiv.
4. Ntiaj teb no kev sib tw thiab cov cib fim
1) Hais txog kev lag luam thiab geopolitical txaus ntshai: Kev kho dua tshiab ntawm cov khoom lag luam thoob ntiaj teb thiab qhov tsis paub tseeb ntawm cov cai ntawm kev lag luam (xws li kev hloov pauv hauv cov nqi se) xav kom cov lag luam xa tawm los txhim kho lawv cov tswv yim sib txawv ntawm kev lag luam thiab kev ua haujlwm hauv zos.
2) "Belt and Road" kev lag luam tob zuj zus: Hauv kev tsim kho vaj tse thiab kev lag luam hauv cov teb chaws raws txoj kev, Suav twj tso kua mis cov khoom tseem muaj kev sib tw muaj zog ntawm tus nqi -kev ua tau zoo, kev xa khoom, thiab kev pabcuam network, thiab yog lub lag luam tseem ceeb rau kev loj hlob ntawm kev xa tawm.
3) Kev koom tes hauv kev lag luam thiab cov qauv kev sib raug zoo: Hauv kev lag luam ntsuab thiab cov thev naus laus zis, kev koom tes hauv kev koom tes thoob ntiaj teb thev naus laus zis thiab kev txhawb nqa kev sib raug zoo ntawm cov khoom lag luam nrog cov qauv thoob ntiaj teb yog txoj hauv kev tseem ceeb los txhim kho lub ntiaj teb hom lag luam.
5. Cov ntsiab lus thiab cov lus pom zoo
Zuag qhia tag nrho, Tuam Tshoj lub twj tso kua mis kev lag luam yuav tsum muaj "kev ruaj khov tag nrho ntim thiab cov qauv sib txawv" hauv 2026. Lub zog loj hlob feem ntau yog los ntawm txoj cai hauv tebchaws -tsav kev thov rau kev rov ua dua tshiab thiab ntsuab hloov pauv, nrog rau kev hloov pauv ntawm tus nqi siab - ntxiv rau thaj chaw. Cov teeb meem tseem ceeb nyob hauv kev daws cov kev hloov pauv ntawm kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb, kev nyuaj siab ntawm cov khoom siv raw, thiab kev sib tw thev naus laus zis hnyav.
